german weekend

[chriscol]

Friday

1. Bundesliga:

Leverkusen- Berlin: over 2.5,3@ 1.95

Leverkusen plays high scoring games at home. Berlin played over in last 4 away games. good chances we see again at least 3 goals here. i am still thinking about leverkusen as a side play, but not decided yet..maybe more later.

2. Bundesliga

Aue- Koblenz: Aue -0.5 @ 1.87

Aue is on a run right now with 5 wins in a row. Koblenz is struggeling a bit right now. only danger i see is that Aue s recent success is based on strong defense. they have not the fire power to come back if they somehow get behind and we will probably have to sweat out an 1-0 win, but still there is very good chance for the home win.

Regionalliga Nord:

Hoffenheim- München: Hoffenheim -0.5,-1 @ 1.97

Jumping on the Hoffenheim train again. Like i said last week they will bounce back at home and they did. i am looking for the same today. they are the much better team, they are at home and they cannot afford to loose points here.

BOL to all

 

[JohnMolson]

nice 2-1 day ..fvkin Hoffenheim :finger:

 

[chriscol]

2-1 Friday

Saturday

Regionalliga Nord:

Wilhelmshaven- Bremen: Bremen pk @ 1.75

WIlhelmshaven not good enough for this league. Bremen is a up and down team this season, but currently on an uptrend. they should be able to get a win here.

Regionalliga Süd:

Wehen- Karlsruhe: Wehen -1 @ 2.03

Wehen is the dominant team in the league. Karlsruhe is playing in the middle of nowhere and should not have much chances to stop Wehen

Saarbrücken- Pirmasens: Saarbrücken -0.5,-1 @ 1.82

Saarbrücken after some struggles early in the season is playing better football right now (which they are capable to). Pirmasens is one of the weakest teams and has not really much chance to avoid relegation this season. A good spot for Saarbrücken to continue the up-trend at home.

1. Bundesliga

Gladbach- Mainz: under 2,2.5 @ 1.93 !! 2 units!!

Both teams struggeling big time on offense. Gladbach with 3 goals in last 8, Mainz with 10 goals whole season. Also Gladbach s best striker Neuville is probably out for today s match. Both teams playing a bit better lately and have close results vs good teams.Gladach is coming off a 1-1 draw at München, while Mainz of a 0-0 draw to Stutgart. Both trends are due to tactical changes on defense. Both teams are lately very solid on defense.Gladbach conceiding one goal or less in 5 of last 6. Mainz just 1 goal in last 3.
Another factor for an under could be that it is a very important match for both against relegation. as Gladbach in 16th place, while Mainz is in last place. so both teams will come out and will try to avoid mistakes.

Hannover- Bielefeld: Hannover pk,-0.5 @ 1.85

Dangerous pick here as Hannover struggles to sore, but still good chances for a home win. Hannover has great success over the last month based on solid defense. They won the last 3 away games all 1-0. They also won their last home game 1-0. Bielefeld is better in the standings, but mainly due to a solid home form. but today they are missing 2 mifield players and will have problems to get through hannover s defense.

München - Cottbus: MÜnchen -1.5,2 @ 1.96

i play very rarely such a high hdc, but i like Bayern to put on a solid win today.
They qualified as number one in CL during the week so focus is now on the last 2 Bundesliga games for this year. They had recently some disappointing results at home vs. Gladbach 1-1 and Hannover 0-1, two weaker teams. Normally hoem games are their big strength and there was lot of talking why that happened. They will be completely focused today as they can also not afford to loose any more points to the league leaders and will win by at least 2 goals.
Cottbus is in abig downtrend right now and should have not much chance today.

BOL to all

 

[snoop]

Frankfurt v. Bremen is already HIGH in less than 15'. Damn!!

 

[Bumipol]

2 goals in the first 4 minutes! What are you gonna do? I really liked the play but sometimes you get slapped in the face in this business. That's what I hate about under bets though, there's no way to catch up once these damn goals have been scored. If you have the over and it's scoreless with ten minutes to go you can still hope for a miracle. No such thing with the under bet.

Let's hope for the rest of our weekend plays! GL everyone!

 

[joeyfitzclick]

You like Borussia tomorrow ? Can they hang with Schalke and grab a draw on the road ?

 

[chriscol]

it s the bigest derby in german football,but schalke got the uphand lately. did not analyse too deep so far, but i am leaning towards schalke -0.5

 

[chriscol]

Sunday

2. Bundesliga

Not much value for me today here. lot s of games look easy but i feel some strange results coming (it s a bit a trend in this league lately)

Augsburg- Braunschweig: Augsburg -0.5,-1 @ 1.93

Augsburg a newcomer to the league is playing in the mids of the table. that is based mainly on strong home performances where they have won the last 3 without conceiding a goal. today they are facing Braunschweig, which is in dead last position. They play awful football. even with new coach Reimann they lost 0-1 last week at home to Kaiserslautern, which easily could have been much worse...there was no fire at all in this team. they have scored only 9 times whole season and it should be very tough for them to get a point at Augsburg.

No more plays for 2.Bundesliga, just some thoughts:

Offenbach- Köln: Although startet witha loss under new coach Daum Köln should be the play here if the line moves to pk. only problem is that several key players in midfield and defense are suspended for this game. so a draw is a very good possibility.

Duisburg- Paderborn: On paper it looks easy, especially considering home/away stats. But Paderborn is a solid defense team and duisburg is struggeling a bit lately when facing strong defenses. Duisburg should win, but 1,1.5 is too much

Rostock- München: that would be normally a play on münchen for me, but home/away record is pointing to Rostock. It will be a close game.

Regionalliga Süd:

Stuttgarter Kicker- Kaiserslautern: Stuttgart -1,-1.5 @ 1.95

Mismatch here. Kaiserslautern is the weakest team in the league and helpless in away games (0-1-9). Stuttgart is still oe of the better teams in the league and has some solid home results lately.

1. Bundesliga:

Schalke- Dortmund: Schalke -0.5 @ 2.05

That s the biggest derby in german football and probably the biggest rivalary. Lately Schalke has earned Dortmund. Besides that Schalke is the n-form team right now. They are strong at home and with Bordon back in the line up much more stabil on defense. Dortmund is playing a disappointing season so far. All the talking this week was that their coach announced he will leave the club end of the season. that s always a strange situation. will the players still fight for him? will he leave earlier? who will be the next coach? lot s of distractions, which is never good for a team.
i ll maybe add atotal play later, but for now the side is enough and it is schalke or nothing.

i am still working on the wolfsburg-aachen game..early lean is on wolfsburg. will maybe add later.

BOL to all

 

[chriscol]

a split so far today with stuttgart coming thru 3-0 and augsburg not able to score in a 0-0

adding Wolfsburg- Aachen: Wolfsburg -0.5 @ 1.88

it will be low scoring and a goal mightbe enough, but still both teams going in different directions right now and home advantage should make the diff.

BOL to all

 

[Duckstabber]

Good to have you on board the Wolfsburg-train...or is the the Volkswagen? :drink:

 

[chriscol]

the over is getting too low for a derby

adding

Schalke-Dortmund over 2,2.5 @ 1.89

Both teams are able to score here..actually dortmund is more dangeros away than at home. Both teams will go for it till the end in a very heated atmosphere.

BOL to all

 

[snoop]

Go go go Schalke.

 

[snoop]

Waaaaaahlaaaaaaaaaaah

2-nil Schalke. What a week of betting.

arty: arty: arty:

 

[chriscol]

3-0 Schalke, over is in the back and very likely the side too